Sensitivity of cyclone tracks to the initial moisture distribution: A moist potential vorticity perspective
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Tracking Surface Cyclones with Moist Potential Vorticity
Surface cyclone tracks are investigated in the context of moist potential vorticity (MPV). A prognostic equation of surface absolute vorticity is derived which provides a basis for using negative MPV (NMPV) in the troposphere as an alternative approach to track surface cyclones. An observed case study of explosive lee cyclogenesis is performed to test the effectiveness of the MPV approach. It i...
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15 صفحه اولStatistical modelling of tropical cyclone tracks: modelling cyclone lysis
We describe results from the fifth stage of a project to build a statistical model of tropical cyclone tracks. The previous stages considered genesis and the shape of tracks. We now consider in more detail how to represent the lysis (death) of tropical cyclones. Improving the lysis model turns out to bring a significant improvement to the track model overall.
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Advances in Atmospheric Sciences
سال: 2005
ISSN: 0256-1530,1861-9533
DOI: 10.1007/bf02918681